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Sit-rep: At riskRARE-007

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Northwind Genetics · RARE-007

X-linked hypophosphatemia in adults

Pivotal Ph3 placebo-controlled study. Enrolment is critically behind (41% vs 65% planned) and a Type B FDA meeting is scheduled to discuss sample-size re-estimation. EAC has breached the contracted budget.

Phase 3EnrollingRare diseaseAt risk

Sit-rep

Status

Enrolling

Health

At risk

Forecast end

Aug 30, 2028

+259d vs plan

Projected EAC

31.2M USD

+4.8M USD vs contract

Live activity

No activity yet

Key performance indicators

Threshold colour is supplementary to the on-target / at-risk / breached label.

Enrolment
74 / 180 (41%)
-24% vs planbreached
Screen failure rate
52%
+11 ptsbreached
Query aging (>14d)
92 open
+31breached
Protocol deviations
61
+18at-risk
Projected DBL variance
+142 days
no recent deltabreached
Budget burn
78%
+9 ptsat-risk
Forecast EAC
$31.2M
+$4.8Mbreached

Timeline & milestones

Bar shows planned span; tick marks current forecast end. Markers are colour-coded by milestone status (labels in tooltip / table below).

FPI — Complete (2024-04-18)25% enrolment — Missed (2025-02-08)50% enrolment — In progress (2025-12-15)75% enrolment — At risk (2026-08-20)LPI — At risk (2027-02-15)LPLV — Planned (2027-12-15)Database lock — Planned (2028-04-01)CSR draft — Planned (2028-06-15)CSR final — Planned (2028-08-30)
Mar 1, 2024planned end Dec 15, 2027 · forecast end Aug 30, 2028
MilestonePlannedActual / forecastVarianceStatus
FPIMar 1, 2024Apr 18, 2024+48dComplete
25% enrolmentOct 15, 2024Feb 8, 2025+116dMissed
50% enrolmentMay 30, 2025Dec 15, 2025+199dIn progress
75% enrolmentDec 15, 2025Aug 20, 2026+248dAt risk
LPIJun 1, 2026Feb 15, 2027+259dAt risk
LPLVApr 1, 2027Dec 15, 2027+258dPlanned
Database lockJul 15, 2027Apr 1, 2028+261dPlanned
CSR draftOct 1, 2027Jun 15, 2028+258dPlanned
CSR finalDec 15, 2027Aug 30, 2028+259dPlanned
SeverityTitleOwnerMitigationStatus
CriticalSample size insufficient at current event rateBiostatistics LeadType B FDA meeting requested to discuss adaptive SSR; protocol amendment v4 drafted.Open
HighPatient identification network exhausted at top 5 sitesFeasibility LeadExpanding to APAC region (3 new countries); RWD partnership signed.Mitigating
HighEAC has breached contracted budgetFinance LeadChange order in negotiation; sponsor steering committee notified.Open
MediumCentral reader inter-rater variability above thresholdMedical MonitorRetraining and re-adjudication of 12% of reads in progress.Mitigating
MediumIRT vendor outage on 2026-04-12 caused 14 mis-randomisationsData Management LeadVendor RCA delivered; all subjects reconciled; CAPA closed.Closed

Resources

RoleHeadcountFTEMonthly rateMonthly cost
CRA119.019k USD173k USD
Data Management54.516k USD71k USD
Pharmacovigilance31.818k USD33k USD
Biostatistics32.523k USD56k USD
Medical Writing10.320k USD6k USD
Regulatory21.021k USD21k USD
Total2519.1360k USD

Financials

Contracted budget

26.4M USD

EBV spent

20.6M USD

78% of contract

EAC (estimate at completion)

31.2M USD

+4.8M USD vs contract

Burn vs time elapsed

78% / 51%

spend ahead of schedule

Recent activity

Provenance events (24h)

1087

Staging items pending

19

Signatures (7d)

41

View provenance for this study →View staged records for this study →

Study goals

  • Demonstrate ≥ 30% improvement in 6-minute walk test vs placebo at Week 40

  • Maintain blinded data integrity through interim analysis

  • Obtain Type B FDA alignment on adaptive sample-size re-estimation

  • Hold projected DBL within +60 days of original plan